THE LAST DITCH

There is a problem with "first past the post" electoral systems like the UK's. Population changes and movements between constituencies can make election results unfair at the national level. At present, constituencies with populations varying from 108,804 to 21,789 get to choose one MP each. Some of us are therefore severely short-changed in terms of our representation.

Indeed most of us have no influence on the outcome of General Elections at all as we live in "safe" constituencies that never change hands. Only once in his life (the Brexit Referendum) did my father – living as he does in the one-party Labour Heartlands – ever have the satisfaction of voting for the winning side. He has made it all the way to his late seventies before casting a vote that made a difference and never expects that experience again.

We don't elect a government in Britain. We elect a local Member of Parliament and HM the Queen invites the leader of the largest of the resulting factions in Westminster to form one. Hence the confusion of the Eastern European gentleman in the next booth to me at the hairdressers recently who was complaining loudly about "undemocratic" Britain daring to choose a new Prime Minister without giving him the chance to vote. In the interests of preserving the calm of that masculine sanctuary, I refrained from offering him any critique of the workings of his home democracy. Nor did I observe that without the efforts of a British Prime Minister chosen by the Conservative Party he quite probably wouldn't have a home democracy at all.

Writing of the last General Election in 2015, the Electoral Reform Society said;
This was the most disproportionate result in British election history. Labour saw their vote share increase while their number of seats collapsed. The Conservatives won an overall majority on a minority of the vote, and the Liberal Democrats lost nearly all their seats, despite winning 8% of the vote. The SNP won 50% of the Scottish vote share, but 95% of Scottish seats. 
The society might also have added that UKIP won just one seat, despite having 12.6% of the vote. It took millions of votes to get that one MP, versus the thirty-something thousand on average required to elect a Tory or Socialist. The Liberal Democrats' 8% of the vote at least got them eight seats. The society might also have added that many past Labour governments also had "an overall majority on a minority of the vote". It's just how the system works and, apart from some eccentrics, few voters are agitating to change it.
 
Electoral Reform would make a lot of sense, but it's not popular. We had a referendum on it and the reformers lost. Many Brits are comfortable with having a constituency MP (even one, like mine, who rudely disregards all contact from constituents who don't share her left-wing views). When it's working properly, our system feels rather like steering a tank but with the opportunity to hit the left or right track controls only once every five years. If the government veers too far left, we swing it right and vice versa. Over time, we hope, it will tend in the direction we favour. Given how little interest most of us take in politics, few find that too slight an input. If government played as small a part in our lives as I would wish, it would be perfectly adequate for me too.
 
"First past the post" is a high-maintenance system, requiring frequent boundary reviews to keep it operating reasonably fairly, but it avoids the stagnation and corruption of the "party list" system favoured in much of Continental Europe. For example during an election when I worked in Russia the top place on the Communist Party list was rumoured to have been sold for $1 million to a businessman who simply wanted the perks associated with membership of the Duma. More often though it results in the less brazen corruption associated with political stagnation as, for example, in Austria. The same people at the top of their party lists stay in power for decades, trading favours with each other and moving comfortably between top jobs. A shift in the popular vote simply takes a few people off the bottom of one list and adds a few to the other – typically juniors who won't hold office anyway. The whole thing is very cosy for the politicians and feels even less democratic than it is. An Austrian client told me years ago that – respectable businessman and free marketeer though he was – he had voted for the late Jörg Haider – a real political nasty – "just to shake things up". Haider as prototype Trump? There is nothing new under the Sun.
 
We learned during the last Coalition Government (the only one so far in my nearly sixty years) that the Brits aren't really comfortable with the visibly cynical bargaining that Continental-style politics involves. We would rather stick with our clumsily steered tank and have periodic opportunities to "kick the rascals out" than see our taxes and liberties thrown about as chips on the baize of a luxurious political casino. 
 
The necessary boundary changes to sort out the practical problem were vetoed by the LibDems in the last Coalition Government in revenge for the Conservatives allegedly welshing on the Coalition Agreement. The Conservative victory in 2015 should have been greater and would have been had the boundaries been fair. Unless they are redrawn soon, the next election will be fought in constituencies that are over 20 years out of date and the outcome will be so outrageously divorced from our desires as a nation as to risk undermining democracy itself.
 
The Boundary Commssion for England is "an independent and impartial advisory public body, which reviews the boundaries of Parliamentary constituencies in England." It is currently consulting on proposed boundary changes to equalise constituencies and to implement the government's proposed reduction of MPs from 650 to 600. The two local MPs (both Labour) between whose revised constituencies the proposals would move me are bitching and moaning to local media that the proposals are "gerrymandering" because they will "favour" the Conservatives. Truth to tell, they are actually "un-gerrymandering". 
 
Those "honourable" ladies are speaking neither for their constituents present and future nor for democracy but for their own self-interest. Expect a lot more such selfishness and hypocrisy in the months to come. If you live in England, please take part in the Boundary Commission's consultation here
 
 

4 responses to “Local politics is a dirty business”

  1. Sackerson Avatar

    Can of worms. The AV referendum result was skewed by the collusion of the two largest parties and, it’s my impression, by media coverage also; had the same approach (especially in the media) been permitted in the EU referendum goodness knows what the result would have been – more like 1975’s I guess.
    Constituencies are too large and getting larger – what does one vote in >70,000 count?
    I would be in favour of subsidiarity [(c)John Major] except localism in planning terms appears to allow well-funded developers to push around impecunious local councils and residents and impose planning blight.
    Perhaps there is no answer, other than riot when things get too bad – it worked for the Poll Tax. Shame it has to come to that.

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  2. Tom Avatar

    True! Always fun to open those. 😉
    Having acted for developers it never seemed like that to me. I am surprised to see you write of poor little public authorities vs big bad businessmen. Are you channeling the BBC / Guardianisti today? Thats just not how the world is and it's a mistake to fall for their agitprop in their constant quest for more power to push us around.
    Developers are always anti-capitalists' bogeymen but in truth have the same healthy incentives as other business people to maximise both the value of their assets and the return on the capital they deploy (rarely their own but trust me their lenders and investors are exercising oversight to stop the heart of a public servant!)
    The biggest example of true planning blight in the UK at present is not caused by any private development but by government indecision over the expansion of London's aviation facilities. Apart from choking off international trade in services it's leaving hundred of thousands of Londoners uncertain of their futures and blighting the value of typically their largest asset.
    It's a particular problem in a city where housing is so expensive that ordinary folk unwillingly have a combined shelter and pension fund. Trust me, all private forces involved would have built the damned runways by now and everyone would know where they stood, for better or worse.
    Planning blight is where there is uncertainty about what permission will be granted or when an existing permission will be implemented. Developers are always working to get land into its "highest and best" use and blight mostly occurs when authorities pander to uncommercial busybodies resisting that.
    Prevent your local pub from being turned into apartments or an opencast pit being opened on nearby farmland and you're just prolonging the blight because all land must become whatever makes it worth the most eventually. Unless you want to club together and buy it to keep it uneconomic! A rapid way to destroy your wealth but feel free.
    I wouldn't riot yet. I have a feeling we have overestimated the ruling élite. It may be as vulnerable as the Labour Party has proved to be. It would take very few intelligent, articulate and determined sorts to depose it.
    The problem then would be dealing with the elevated expectations of an electorate raised by self-seeking politicians and cultural Marxist teachers and journalists to believe saintly public servants are the cure to all ills.

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  3. Sackerson Avatar

    Planning: I’m not talking about the level of airports and London, but rural councils like Totnes in South Devon, who either can’t afford to fight a combination of a greedy titled landowner in cahoots with a large building company, or have been given some cough incentive to roll over. They’re now talking about building on the market place, the public car park and a beautifully constructed community garden, all in the centre of town; the result will be like Stroud, a half-empty mini-mall and local traders brought closer to closing down as incoming loss-leading national chainlets compete on the less-well-breeched locals’ top sellers.
    If you want another good example of planners’ blight look at St Austell – a ring road and a gang of supermarkets on it sucking the life out of the centre.
    Even in Solihull, the archetypal middle-class borough, the covered mall is half empty and the spaces filled with nice pictures of the shops that might be there but aren’t. And, of course, a charity shop or two.
    How very dare you suggest I read the Guardian! In the 70s I couldn’t finish it because of the quantity of good stuff, today I cannot start it because, well, it’s obvious. BTW I have read that it was in this paper’s newsroom that the hacks watched 9/11 live, commenting that America had it coming even as the people were dying. My attitude to the Guardian is that of Liverpool’s to the Sun.

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  4. Tom Avatar

    Ok. You had me confused. Planning blight is a term of art and that's just incompetence and backscratching you're talking about. Even then I bet the landowners and builders you mention think harder about their budgets than Totnes Council. Apologies for teasing re Guardian!

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Tom is a retired international lawyer. He was a partner in a City of London law firm and spent almost twenty years abroad serving clients from all over the world.

Returning to London on retirement in 2011, he was dismayed to discover how much liberty had been lost in the UK while he was away.

He’s a classical liberal (libertarian, if you must) who, like his illustrious namesake, considers that

“…government even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.”

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