THE LAST DITCH

Link: Rape Conviction Rates.

Following on from my post yesterday, Tim Worstall posts about a Times article reporting that conviction rates for rape are higher than for murder. The figures bandied about by politicians and "activists" are the percentage of accusations leading to conviction, not the percentage of cases brought to court which end in a guilty verdict!

There is a real danger of a politically correct witch hunt here. You do NOT show your concern for victims of rape by demanding that innocent people are convicted to meet an artificial target. This is gesture politics at its worst and – as usual – all three political parties are guilty of it.

For whom do we vote if we want to live freely under just law?

2 responses to “Rape Conviction Rates”

  1. Dave Petterson Avatar
    Dave Petterson

    What we needis a tag on to this for Corruption Conviction rates.
    The number of politicians caught with their hands in the till compared to how many lead to a conviction. that must be a worse ratio than any other crime.

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  2. Anon Avatar
    Anon

    For whom do we vote indeed? It strikes me that we no longer live in
    democracies in the meaning that we can elect adequate representation. At
    regular intervals, we are given the option to select which gang of power
    drunk muppets that shall make the bidding for a small group of well
    organised and richly funded special interest lobbies.
    We don’t have any real options since:
    1. The party system is a force in it’s own right that protects and
    provides for it’s own. If you’re a member of the club, you are
    effectively untouchable. Only the established parties have the funding
    and the organisation to launch viable election campaigns, so our choice
    is reduced to which one to pick.
    2. A political, ruling class that regards itself as beyond the law and
    superior to the population in general has emerged. The members of this
    class are not accountable beyond their fellow club members, since they
    are protected by the party system. This breeds complete disregard for
    most constitutional principles. The ruling class does not serve the
    people, it exploits and controls the people from the general belief that
    “free and equal” is a load of revolutionary and dangerous hogwash. If
    non-members of the ruling class were indeed free and equal, they might
    pose a serious threat. Every free and equal citizen is a potential
    terrorist. Only by removing freedom and equality can one remove the
    threat of terrorism.
    In addition to breeding contempt and disregard for civil rights, the
    political class system breeds mediocrity. Great and/or independent minds
    threaten the stability of the group and are thus quickly disposed of.
    3. The lobby system has gotten so well organised and strongly financed
    that, in practice, policies are often influenced and dictated by a small
    group of powerful Special Interest Groups rather than by any concept of
    common good. Thus we are mangled from two sides. Whatever remaining
    common good that might not conflict with the interests of the Political
    Class has a good chance of being sacrificed for the Individual Good of
    an Industry Lobby.
    None of this is new, but the slide down the slippery slope into an
    Orwellian nightmare has been shifted into overdrive. The tragic events
    of 9/11 created the perfect vehicle for disassembling the remains of
    democratic values, checks and balances. Irrational fears are promoted
    and exploited to justify the removal of civil liberties in the interest
    of a successful “War on Terror”.
    Take the example of digital communications. We are told that blanket
    traffic surveillance and data retention is essential to thwart
    terrorism, and thus blatantly un-constitutional legislation is driven
    through virtually without protest.
    Anyone with a modicum of common sense will understand that such
    legislation is completely ineffective to stop, or even identify
    terrorists. Any halfway intelligent terrorist will combine cryptography,
    steganography and “false flag” tactics in his communications. E.g. he
    will hijack an open WLAN, use a false or stolen identity or a
    stolen/cloned mobile phone for his internet connection. Neither he nor
    his location can be determined, not in real time and even less post fact
    (which is why data retention is so absurd). Not only can his identity
    not be found, since the terrorist will use strong encryption, the
    content of his traffic cannot be accessed and read.
    Surely the concept of monitoring and retaining our digital
    communications is in principle no different from monitoring and
    recording everything we say, do and think? No difference in concept,
    only in scope and technology imho.
    The very idea of putting all this information in the hands of the people
    who just lost 25 million personal records is indeed scary. What an
    amazing target for cyber-terrorism. That’s really the summary:
    completely pointless in order to catch terrorists, but a great new
    terrorist target. The analogy would be to build the largest Twin Towers
    ever and fill them with every man, woman and child in the Land. “If
    there’s any terrorists in here, we’ll catch’em…”
    The apparent total lack of collective memory and historic perspective is
    also alarming in this context. “Trust us with ALL your private data.
    After all, we’re the Government so we will never loose, compromise or
    abuse this data – not now and not in the future, because governments
    NEVER change and there is no record in history of abusive and
    totalitarian governments…
    So what is the true agenda behind the extremely costly data surveillance
    and retention policies? What is the real justification for spending our
    tax money in order to remove our Civil Rights and expose us to grave
    risk? A lethal combination of three factors:
    1. The Political Class’ general appetite for control.
    2. The financial interests of the “Copyright Infringement” Lobby.
    3. The financial interests of large “Surveillance Solutions” providers,
    including the Defence Industry, who see major scope for large public
    sector procurement in this area.
    From my observation point, the most decisive and determined thrust is
    coming from the Media Industry. This context truly gets my blood boiling.
    You’re a lawyer. Didn’t there use to be some rationale of
    proportionality between the severity of a crime vs. it’s punishment and
    the resources invested in it’s pursuit? An eye for an eye?
    If we were rational regarding the crime of file sharing/piracy, would we
    not attempt to establish the relative damage of the crime with respect
    to the individual victim and society in general? Would we not balance
    the damages from the crime against the costs of pursuing it? Would we
    not look at the crime in the context of all crimes and our relatively
    limited resources for pursuit?
    Let’s skip the issue of morality and legality and just conclude that it
    is not all that straightforward. If I steal your car, you have one car
    less and I have one car more. Your damage is the value of the car plus
    inconvenience and cost in conjunction with the theft and subsequent
    acquisition of a replacement. The value to me is likely to be less than
    the loss to you since a stolen good usually is encumbered. The macro
    economic effect is thus also negative. If I copy an intellectual good,
    you still have the original. The damage to you depends, among other
    things, on whether I would have been prepared to purchase it or not. It
    is therefore difficult to compute the potential damage to you. It is not
    even obvious that you will suffer any economic damage at all. By using
    your product, I might invest significant time in learning and
    familiarising myself with it instead of a competitive product, thus
    being potentially more likely to purchase it later.
    Since an analysis on the individual level is almost impossible, the next
    scientific level is to take a micro economic perspective, looking at
    allocation of disposable income. Clearly, an individual cannot spend
    more than his disposable income, and an analysis of the damages of
    piracy on the media industry must therefore try to establish to what
    extent piracy leads to re-allocation of disposable income to other
    categories of expenditure. The music industry may be experiencing a
    contracting market place (in the context of new offerings in the same
    expenditure category, such as games, DVD’s, on-line entertainment,
    etc.), but no study has so far been able to establish any reduction in
    overall media consumption as a result of piracy. The few independent
    (non media-industry sponsored) studies that have been undertaken
    indicate that piracy, at current levels, might even have a slight
    positive effect on overall media expenditure. Certainly, the most avid
    file sharers also allocate a larger portion of their disposable income
    to media purchases than the population in general.
    If we accept that disposable income allocation to media expenditure has
    so far not been reduced because of piracy, the macro economic conclusion
    must be that the overall effect on society is positive. At constant
    expenditure, more good is being consumed due to the reproducible nature
    of the good.
    Logical and plausible imho. To summarise:
    1. Individual damage cannot be proven, given the nature of the good.
    2. Micro economic damage to the industry sector has not been
    demonstrated or proven.
    3. Macro economic benefits to society can easily be demonstrated
    scientifically and logically.
    4. The costs for pursuing piracy through traffic surveillance and data
    retention are enormous in pure financial terms an even greater in terms
    of violated civil liberties.
    Presently, available evidence and research appears to indicate that the
    crime of piracy is a largely victimless crime with an overall positive
    macro economic effect on society. I.e. we incur indisputable and
    significant financial and human cost in order to thwart something that
    has not been proven to cause any financial damage, and we violate
    fundamental Civil Rights in order to protect the not even demonstrated
    financial losses from significantly more debatable Intellectual Rights.
    This apparent lack of reason, balance and proportionality concerns me. I
    can see no proportion between the crime and the resources thrown at it.
    Even if one were to agree that piracy is legally and morally wrong, the
    question remains as to HOW wrong it is compared to violation of civil
    rights and favouring an influential minority at the cost of overall
    society? The only proportionality I can see is that between the
    attention to the crime and the influence of the Lobby.
    This is indicative of how the whole system of democracy is failing.
    We the people are supposed to be protected against abusive governments
    by a set of universal Individual Rights, codified as sacrosanct
    constitutional rights. By democratic vote, we can replace an abusive
    government. What do we do when the government does not respect the
    constitution? Who do we vote for when all alternatives display equal
    disregard for us and our Civil Rights?
    What would Paine, Jefferson or Franklin do today?
    They must be rotating in their graves. If we could connect their bodies
    to power generators, we might just have a renewable energy source that
    could solve Global Warming…

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Tom is a retired international lawyer. He was a partner in a City of London law firm and spent almost twenty years abroad serving clients from all over the world.

Returning to London on retirement in 2011, he was dismayed to discover how much liberty had been lost in the UK while he was away.

He’s a classical liberal (libertarian, if you must) who, like his illustrious namesake, considers that

“…government even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.”

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